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PostPosted: Wed May 25, 2011 8:03 pm 
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Location: Aberdeen
Diesel price seems to be falling here.
134.9 (sainsburys), only 1p more than petrol.
Lets hope it continues.............. 8)

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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 5:27 am 
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GBC wrote:
And 3 years on, is it any better?


Worse than 2008 IMO.

People realise there is no magical recovery and green shoots around the corner and are getting squeezed by high energy prices, high food prices etc and so have less disposable income to go out.


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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 11:20 am 
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Location: Twixt Heaven and Hell, but nearest Hell
20 years ago I operated in a small welsh town where the dominant place of employment was a neuclear power station which closed, not only was it biggest employer it was also the best payer, then the firm wanted staff to move across the UK to other power stations and helped by buying houses off staff so they could buy elsewhere

the effects were devastating for pubs, eateries and......taxis

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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 12:20 pm 
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Location: Midlands
I went through the recession in the 90's without any problems, this one is a different equation.[/i]

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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 4:38 pm 
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Midlander wrote:
I went through the recession in the 90's without any problems, this one is a different equation.[/i]


As you say totally different. The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% :shock: .

These days, and many years on, people no longer have that room to move in having been screwed with either nil or small wage rises. The bottom line is that the money people (all the greedy barstewards) that have been creaming money off big time do not have any room in which to work i.e move/adjust interest rates to tweak the economy.

If they move the interest rates up, then those with mortgages will not go to the shops as often (causing job losses), it also means they will use less fuel for their cars (less revenue for the Gov, and more job losses).

All in all they have dug themselves into a hole, and the only way back (if there is one) is to reinstate cheap credit so people can get back to spending...................But! hang on, isn't that where we started :roll:

The U.K was built on credit ! what we need in reality is higher wages, but the policy by successive governments has been NATIONAL MINIMUM wage..........and as ever the recession has been caused by government greed and policies. The people suffer..........not government ministers, and so it will go on and on until the next one, basically being caused by the unfair distribution of wealth.

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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 5:07 pm 
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cabby john wrote:
The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% :shock: .



I thought that was the one in the late 70s early 80s!

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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 6:23 pm 
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grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% :shock: .



I thought that was the one in the late 70s early 80s!


No it was definitely the late 80s.

We were running a pub on a private housing estate and two of the guys had mortgages circling £600 pm & £800 pm, and I remember them saying that their repayments had gone up to something like £800+ and the other was hitting something like £1100 ish. My beer sales were going down massively because people were striving to keep a roof over their heads...................selfish sods :roll:

We tend to forget that we have probably had a number of recessions and there may very well have been one in the time span that you mention, but not 15.25% mortgages :shock:

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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 6:49 pm 
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Location: Scotland
2 down this one to go eusasmiles.zip

I started in 1981 at that recession height never really noticed the 90s one
but this one is starting to weed out the Klingon's :D


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 Post subject: Re: RECESSION!!!!
PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 7:56 pm 
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jimbo wrote:
I predict 150p by the end of 2011.

I say much as it is now.

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PostPosted: Thu May 26, 2011 7:58 pm 
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Midlander wrote:
I went through the recession in the 90's without any problems, this one is a different equation.

Likewise, but I think our manor is slightly better off than then.

Maybe it's the seaside location and not so many folks are going abroad.

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PostPosted: Sat May 28, 2011 6:30 am 
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Regarding mortgage interest rates, 5% is the new 15%.


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PostPosted: Sat May 28, 2011 7:52 am 
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cabby john wrote:
grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% :shock: .



I thought that was the one in the late 70s early 80s!


No it was definitely the late 80s.

We were running a pub on a private housing estate and two of the guys had mortgages circling £600 pm & £800 pm, and I remember them saying that their repayments had gone up to something like £800+ and the other was hitting something like £1100 ish. My beer sales were going down massively because people were striving to keep a roof over their heads...................selfish sods :roll:

We tend to forget that we have probably had a number of recessions and there may very well have been one in the time span that you mention, but not 15.25% mortgages :shock:


It was the early 80s according to google.

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PostPosted: Sat May 28, 2011 1:43 pm 
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grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% :shock: .



I thought that was the one in the late 70s early 80s!


No it was definitely the late 80s.

We were running a pub on a private housing estate and two of the guys had mortgages circling £600 pm & £800 pm, and I remember them saying that their repayments had gone up to something like £800+ and the other was hitting something like £1100 ish. My beer sales were going down massively because people were striving to keep a roof over their heads...................selfish sods :roll:

We tend to forget that we have probably had a number of recessions and there may very well have been one in the time span that you mention, but not 15.25% mortgages :shock:


It was the early 80s according to google.


If you look at a lot of the reports quite a few were asking/trying to predict the next recession in 1988, so I guess that the signs of it coming were around. Apparently it arrived in the 3rd quarter of 1990, no one ever seems to know when they actually arrive because data takes time to filter through, but you can be rest assured that we know before they actually admit it.

Anyway for the purpose of mortgage rates I have managed to get the following info..........

Quote:
Historical Interest rates & Government Macro Economics - the role of Government is critical in the cost of mortgages and the availability of money supply into the property market....

Mortgage Interest rates have always been of concern to anyone borrowing money on a mortgage to purchase a house. The UK economy has always been seen by the outside world as being developed and stable and apart from the odd blip, sterling our currency has been viewed as a safe bet for foreign investors. If we look back at interest rates over the last 25 years, we will see a number of fluctuations, some have precipitated fairly dramatic changes in the price of homes. The following is a table of average interest rates for each year. 1971 7.92% 1988 12.13%
1972 8.08% 1989 15.75%
1973 12.10% 1990 16.63%
1974 13.90% 1991 13.42%
1975 12.77% 1992 11.29%
1976 13.90% 1993 7.79%
1977 10.21% 1994 7.35%
1978 11.25% 1995 8.15%
1979 15.96% 1996 7.89%
1980 18.17% 1997 8.56%
1981 15.23% 1998 9.21%
1982 13.80% 1999 7.33%
1983 11.84% 2000 7.98%
1984 11.64% 2001 7.08%
1985 14.17% 2002 6.00%
1986 12.71% 2003 5.69%
1987 11.50% 2004 TBA




I thought that they peaked at 15.25%, but as you can see in 1989 they were 15.75% and as high as 16.63% in 1990.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun May 29, 2011 3:01 am 
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cabby john wrote:
grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% :shock: .



I thought that was the one in the late 70s early 80s!


No it was definitely the late 80s.

We were running a pub on a private housing estate and two of the guys had mortgages circling £600 pm & £800 pm, and I remember them saying that their repayments had gone up to something like £800+ and the other was hitting something like £1100 ish. My beer sales were going down massively because people were striving to keep a roof over their heads...................selfish sods :roll:

We tend to forget that we have probably had a number of recessions and there may very well have been one in the time span that you mention, but not 15.25% mortgages :shock:


It was the early 80s according to google.


If you look at a lot of the reports quite a few were asking/trying to predict the next recession in 1988, so I guess that the signs of it coming were around. Apparently it arrived in the 3rd quarter of 1990, no one ever seems to know when they actually arrive because data takes time to filter through, but you can be rest assured that we know before they actually admit it.

Anyway for the purpose of mortgage rates I have managed to get the following info..........

Quote:
Historical Interest rates & Government Macro Economics - the role of Government is critical in the cost of mortgages and the availability of money supply into the property market....

Mortgage Interest rates have always been of concern to anyone borrowing money on a mortgage to purchase a house. The UK economy has always been seen by the outside world as being developed and stable and apart from the odd blip, sterling our currency has been viewed as a safe bet for foreign investors. If we look back at interest rates over the last 25 years, we will see a number of fluctuations, some have precipitated fairly dramatic changes in the price of homes. The following is a table of average interest rates for each year. 1971 7.92% 1988 12.13%
1972 8.08% 1989 15.75%
1973 12.10% 1990 16.63%
1974 13.90% 1991 13.42%
1975 12.77% 1992 11.29%
1976 13.90% 1993 7.79%
1977 10.21% 1994 7.35%
1978 11.25% 1995 8.15%
1979 15.96% 1996 7.89%
1980 18.17% 1997 8.56%
1981 15.23% 1998 9.21%
1982 13.80% 1999 7.33%
1983 11.84% 2000 7.98%
1984 11.64% 2001 7.08%
1985 14.17% 2002 6.00%
1986 12.71% 2003 5.69%
1987 11.50% 2004 TBA




I thought that they peaked at 15.25%, but as you can see in 1989 they were 15.75% and as high as 16.63% in 1990.


15.96% in 1979
18.17% in 1980
15.23% in 1981

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PostPosted: Sun May 29, 2011 7:44 am 
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Posts: 2948
Location: Over here!
grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
grandad wrote:
cabby john wrote:
The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% :shock: .



I thought that was the one in the late 70s early 80s!


No it was definitely the late 80s.

We were running a pub on a private housing estate and two of the guys had mortgages circling £600 pm & £800 pm, and I remember them saying that their repayments had gone up to something like £800+ and the other was hitting something like £1100 ish. My beer sales were going down massively because people were striving to keep a roof over their heads...................selfish sods :roll:

We tend to forget that we have probably had a number of recessions and there may very well have been one in the time span that you mention, but not 15.25% mortgages :shock:


It was the early 80s according to google.


If you look at a lot of the reports quite a few were asking/trying to predict the next recession in 1988, so I guess that the signs of it coming were around. Apparently it arrived in the 3rd quarter of 1990, no one ever seems to know when they actually arrive because data takes time to filter through, but you can be rest assured that we know before they actually admit it.

Anyway for the purpose of mortgage rates I have managed to get the following info..........

Quote:
Historical Interest rates & Government Macro Economics - the role of Government is critical in the cost of mortgages and the availability of money supply into the property market....

Mortgage Interest rates have always been of concern to anyone borrowing money on a mortgage to purchase a house. The UK economy has always been seen by the outside world as being developed and stable and apart from the odd blip, sterling our currency has been viewed as a safe bet for foreign investors. If we look back at interest rates over the last 25 years, we will see a number of fluctuations, some have precipitated fairly dramatic changes in the price of homes. The following is a table of average interest rates for each year. 1971 7.92% 1988 12.13%
1972 8.08% 1989 15.75%
1973 12.10% 1990 16.63%
1974 13.90% 1991 13.42%
1975 12.77% 1992 11.29%
1976 13.90% 1993 7.79%
1977 10.21% 1994 7.35%
1978 11.25% 1995 8.15%
1979 15.96% 1996 7.89%
1980 18.17% 1997 8.56%
1981 15.23% 1998 9.21%
1982 13.80% 1999 7.33%
1983 11.84% 2000 7.98%
1984 11.64% 2001 7.08%
1985 14.17% 2002 6.00%
1986 12.71% 2003 5.69%
1987 11.50% 2004 TBA




I thought that they peaked at 15.25%, but as you can see in 1989 they were 15.75% and as high as 16.63% in 1990.


15.96% in 1979
18.17% in 1980
15.23% in 1981


I wrote...........

Quote:
The one back in the late 80s early 90s was dominated by VERY high interest rates, mortgages 15.25% .



You wrote....................

Quote:
I thought that was the one in the late 70s early 80s!


So I wrote in reference to the one that I wrote (is that making sense)

Quote:
No it was definitely the late 80s.


The reason.....................BECAUSE I WAS TALKING ABOUT THE LATE 1980s/ early 90s...............NOT the 70s early 80s.

The bottom line being is that we were both right depending on which year/decade we were talking about...................having said that I am MORE right because you jumped into the wrong time zone :D :wink:

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